BDN staff picks week 2 college football games against Blue Devil Greats

The Blue Devils got off to a great start to the 2012 season with a big win over FIU in week 1. BDN's college football picks were equally impressive, as Thad Lewis, Andrew Slater, and Patrick Cacchio all posted perfect weeks. Overall, the BDN Staff are even with the BDN Greats with both teams knotted at 36 points heading into week 2 action.

Here are this week's standings:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Week 2 has another tough set of games, headlined by Duke's west coast trip to take on the #21 Stanford Cardinal. The Blue Devils posted a convincing win over FIU while Stanford struggled with San Jose State in their respective openers. The Blue Devil Greats are confident that Duke is ready to pull off the upset in Palo Alto. In another pairing of top academic schools, James Franklin will take his Vanderbilt squad north to take on Pat Fitzgerald's Northwestern team. The ACC will take on teams from the Big 10, Big 12, Big East, and PAC-12 this week. UNC travels to Winston-Salem for their ACC opener against in-state rival Wake Forest. And finally, Texas A&M and Missouri will make their SEC debuts against Florida and Georgia, respectively. It should all shape up to be another exciting weekend of college football!

Here are this week's picks:

Patrick Cacchio: The Cardinal no longer boast an offensive juggernaut led by Andrew Luck, but Stepfan Taylor still will prove a tough test for the Duke front six. Stanford's defense held the Blue Devils in check in 2011 and will be every bit as physical in 2012. Stanford is more vulnerable than a year ago and Sean Renfree leads a more confident Duke team, but the Cardinal program remain a year or two ahead of the Blue Devils in overall talent. Stanford 28, Duke 20.

Bob Green: The last time Duke traveled to the West Coast to face Stanford, in 1971, they came home with a 9-3 victory. Last season, Stanford traveled to Durham and beat down Duke 44-14. This week's game will not feature the 1971 Duke team or the 2011 Stanford team. It is a new season and I expect this game to be competitive for four quarters. In the end, it will come down to turnovers, penalties and mistakes. The team that limits those items will win. In the final analysis, I believe the home field advantage will be enough to push Stanford to a win. Stanford 35, Duke 31.

Andrew Slater: It will be a challenging chess match between Duke Coach David Cutcliffe, who will look to exploit his veteran passing tandem of Conner Vernon and Sean Renfree with an improved offensive line against Stanford Coach David Shaw's vaunted defensive front seven of Stanford with a relatively weak secondary. It will be interesting to see if the Blue Devils can contain WR Ty Montgomery, who had a great second half last season, and minimize the damage of Stanford's TE corps. Duke has closed the gap between the two programs, but I still think Stanford will correct the mental lapses that they suffered in the third quarter against San Jose St. Stanford 34, Duke 20

Mark Watson: The Blue Devils can win this game if they keep mistakes to a minumum, but Stanford will be tough after reading about their lack luster performance all week long against San Jose State. Ask any college football expert and they'll tell you it is tough to win against a Pac 12 team in intersectional games on their home turf. But I sure hope the Blue Devils win! Stanford 31, Duke 23

Bob Harris: Duke 28 - Stanford 24. Need I say more??? Duke builds off the 20 point win to open the season. Stanford had trouble with former Duke Asst Mike MacIntyre's team, San Jose St., 20-17.

Matt Daniels: Coming off of a huge victory vs the Panthers the Blue Devils look to take that momentum out West to face the Stanford Cardinals. The offense seems to have things clicking with the WR tandem of Conner Vernon and Jamison Crowder; look for those two to have big games and for the Duke defense to heavily pressure the new starting Cardinal QB. Duke wins 27-21 in a thriller.

Thad Lewis: Duke over Stanford with the experience on offense that Duke has and the continual development of this defense that has shown us what they can do, Duke will upset Stanford. Duke 35, Stanford 17

Vinny Rey: Coming off of an impressive start, Duke keeps things rolling with a consistent offensive, and big plays from the defense. In their travel to the opposite side of the country, they stay poised and have earned the right to win during their week of practice. Duke 27, Stanford 20

BDN previews Duke’s trip to #21 Stanford

Duke at Stanford
10:30 PM ET
Saturday, September 8
Stanford Stadium
Stanford, California
TV: PAC-12 Network
Radio: Blue Devil IMG Sports Network, Sirus/XM 128 (Stanford broadcast)
BDN Gameday Twitter: @PatrickCacchio

Duke in 2012: 1-0, defeated FIU 46-26, Saturday 9/1
Stanford in 2012: 1-0, defeated SJSU 20-17, Friday 8/31

DUKE INJURIES
PROBABLE - S Anthony Young-Wiseman (leg), DE Jonathan Woodruff (leg)
OUT - CB Jared Boyd (leg), LB Kelby Brown (leg), NG Jamal Bruce (foot), S Jordon Byas (leg), TE Braxton Deaver (leg), LB Britton Grier (hand), TE Jack Farrell (leg), OG Lucas Patrick (ankle)
OUT FOR SEASON - WR Blair Holliday, DE Allen Jackson (shoulder), S Taylor Sowell (leg)

STANFORD INJURIES
QUESTIONABLE - FB Ryan Hewitt
OUT - FB Geoff Meinken
OUT FOR SEASON - OG Cole Underwood

Last year: Stanford defeated Duke 41-14 in week 2 in Durham behind Andrew Luck's 4 TD performance.

HOW DUKE CAN WIN
Duke has momentum, coming off one of the program's better wins in recent years. They have experience, having faced this same Stanford team in week 2 of last year. They have talent, led by a core group of seniors in Sean Renfree, Conner Vernon, Desmond Scott, Kenny Anunike, Lee Butler, and Walt Canty. They have youthful exuberance, shown by David Reeves' TD in his first college game and Kyler Brown's interception return on a 2-point conversion try. They have speed, highlighted by Josh Snead's strong return from injury and Jamison Crowder's ability to consistently beat man coverage. Regardless of what happens on Saturday, all of the above will still hold true.

Opportunity is what you make of it. Saturday presents many opportunities for this Duke team: an opportunity to snap a 41-game losing streak to ranked road opponents; an opportunity to validate their opening week win; an opportunity to prove they are ready to compete both in the ACC and nationally; and an opportunity to beat a very good football team. To win, the Blue Devils have to be opportunistic on Saturday; every snap, they must be prepared to seize an opportunity. They have to put up points on every trip to the red zone. They have to make tackles. They have to take advantage of any Stanford mistake, both on offense and defense. They will have to take some chances and make critical defensive stands. Just as in week 1, special teams will have to make big plays. And it goes without saying, but they must not create opportunities for the Cardinal through penalties or turnovers. No single play or player is going to win this game for Duke; it must be a concerted effort across all phases of the game.

HOW DUKE CAN LOSE
When you're a 2+ touchdown underdog facing a top-25 team, there are a lot of ways you can lose. In fact, Duke could play very well on Saturday and still not come away with a victory. Stanford will be looking to put forth a good effort after a lackluster week one victory, especially with PAC-12 favorite USC looming next week. Senior RB Stepfan Taylor will give the Duke front 6 all they can handle running behind Outland Trophy nominee David Yankey. QB Josh Nunes, replacing #1 overall draft pick Andrew Luck, has weapons to work with in TE Zach Ertz, WR Ty Montgomery and WR Drew Terrell.  And with three Butkus Award nominees, the Stanford linebackers are some of the best that the Blue Devil offense will face all season. If Duke makes any of the same mistakes they did in week 1 - turnovers, penalties, and missed tackles - the Cardinal will take advantage and not look back.

WHY STANFORD WILL WIN
As good as Andrew Luck was last year, it was the Stanford defense that was truly dominant against Duke. The Blue Devil offense was held without a touchdown until late in the fourth quarter, and managed just 30 net rushing yards the entire game. The Cardinal return 7 starters from last year's defensive unit, and this week, will be bolstered by the return of their senior leader at LB in Shayne Skov, a preseason 1st team All-PAC12 selection. In week 1, the Blue Devil offense was able to thrive against a FIU unit filled with speed. Stanford will present a much different test. Over the past few seasons, Sean Renfree and the Blue Devils have struggled to consistently move the ball against strong and physical defenses. If the Blue Devils hope to come away with a landmark victory for their program, they will have to earn it, and likely have the breaks fall in their favor. Duke is much improved from a year ago, and Stanford may have taken a step back, but the Cardinal are still the more talented team. Stanford 28, Duke 20

Ross Cockrell and Jamal Wallace talk Stanford

Ross Cockrell, BDN Photo

The Duke Blue Devils football team is coming off a grand opening day victory over Florida International, and travel to meet a nationally ranked Stanford squad this Saturday.  BDN caught up to several players this week to get their thoughts on last week's win and the test which lies ahead in Palo Alto.  Here are a couple of video interviews with defensive back Ross Cockrell and defensive lineman Jamal Wallace.  Be sure to bookmark BDN for the best football coverage available all season long.  We'll be live in Palo Alto following the team this weekend, so check out our BDN and staff Twitter feeds, and for full site access, join Blue Devil Nation Premium, our extended subscription service.

Know the opponent: Stanford Cardinal scouting report

A year ago, the 0-1 Blue Devils welcomed a top-10 Stanford team led by QB Andrew Luck to Wallace Wade Stadium. They were able to hang with the Cardinal for much of the first half before Luck exploded and Stanford cruised to a 44-14 victory.

This year, it's a bit of a different story. The Blue Devils enter their week 2 matchup at 1-0 after a convincing defeat of a talented FIU team in their opener. By all indications, Duke is a team that looks much improved from last season. Stanford enters Saturday's showdown in Palo Alto after narrowly surviving a second half surge by former Duke Defensive Coordinator Mike MacIntyre's San Jose State team, 20-17. With Luck now taking snaps for the Indianapolis Colts, and his top three receivers also departed, questions surround this Cardinal team as they look to maintain their previous level of success.

At the end of the day, both teams enter week 2 at 1-0, and only one will remain unbeaten after Saturday.

So with a strong defense and a talented senior RB in Stepfan Taylor,  just how good is this Stanford team? BDN welcomes back Hank Waddles of GoMightyCard to give us the Stanford perspective on Saturday night's matchup. Be sure to visit his site later this week for a BDN take on the Duke-Stanford game.

BDN: Despite the loss of QB Andrew Luck and 8 other starters from last year's 11-2 squad, Stanford remains ranked in the top 25 nationally and is predicted to challenge USC and Oregon for a PAC-12 title. What are your expectations for the Cardinal this year?

This is an interesting question, because the answer has changed dramatically since last Friday night. Heading into that opener against San Jose State, most in the Stanford fan base were targeting something in the neighborhood of 8 or 9 wins and a trip to a respectable bowl, probably the Alamo Bowl. The idea was that even though Andrew Luck was gone, as were two highly-drafted offensive linemen (David DeCastro and Jonathan Martin), the talent left behind, combined with an infusion of talent from a tremendous recruiting class would make up for it. The team might not make it to a third straight BCS bowl, but it would still be one of the top fifteen or twenty teams in the country.

Ten minutes into the San Jose State game it looked like that outlook was dead on. Even new quarterback Josh Nunes looked good. But then it all came apart in the third quarter as the Spartans mounted two long touchdown drives, converting long third downs at will, and the Stanford offense sputtered. While the Cardinal managed a 20-17 win, it was far from what was expected.

At this point, there's a huge range of expectations. Some fans see the worst ahead, and worry that the losses will mount once Pac-12 play begins. They maintain that Coach David Shaw chose the wrong quarterback (junior Brett Nottingham battled with Nunes until losing the job only two weeks ago), mangled the offensive line, and crafted a game plan that was too conservative. Some have even suggested that he be fired.

The more rational have pointed out that a team never improves more than it does between game one and game two, so it might be better to withhold judgment. The offensive line, specifically, will benefit from a week of film study and practice, and they'll also hope to have freshman Andrus Peat, who may or may not be healthy enough to start at left tackle.

That might not be the straight answer you were looking for, but it's really hard to know where this team will be eleven games from now. It's hard enough to know where they'll be on Saturday.

BDN: This year, the Cardinal offense loses its leader in Luck, but also its top 3 receivers from 2011. Leading rusher Stepfan Taylor appears poised for a big senior season and QB Josh Nunes has shown he can make some throws, but the Cardinal offense struggled at times in their opener against San Jose State. What does Stanford need to do to improve their offensive production in week 2? Which players will be relied upon to step up?

I touched on this above. Obviously, the offensive line needs to shape up. Coach Shaw has been typically tight-lipped about this, but most observers feel that there are two people playing out of position on the offensive line, and that a lot of the problems we saw against San Jose State will be solved once David Yankey moves back to his old guard spot and Andrus Peat (or maybe fellow freshman Kyle Murphy) takes the left tackle position. Starting fullback Ryan Hewitt was also held out last week, although he likely would've played had the opponent been more formidable, and his loss impacted the running game as well.

Another player to watch on Saturday will be sophomore Ty Montgomery. He emerged at the end of last season as the one game-breaking threat on a team full of possession wide receivers, and he is the clear number one receiver this year. He played well for most of the game last week, but his drop of a possible long touchdown that would've iced the game cannot be ignored. The best way to make a new quarterback comfortable is to catch the ball. He needs to do that.

BDN: Last year, the Stanford defense was able to shut down the Blue Devil offense in Durham, holding them to just 30 rushing yards and 14 total points. San Jose State did manage 17 points against this year's unit in week 1. How do you expect teams will try to exploit the Cardinal defense?

Much has been made of Stanford's front seven, and some (including me) have called them the best in the Pac-12, possibly the best in the nation. With that in mind, it was stunning to watch San Jose State march the length of the field on consecutive possessions in the third quarter. After those two drives, however, the defense remembered who they were supposed to be and completely dominated the rest of the way. Inside linebacker Shayne Skov returns this week from his one-game DUI suspension, so they should be even stronger. Also, they should be playing with a bit of a chip on their shoulders.

Because of the talent in that front seven, particularly the six linebackers that will rotate through the 3-4, teams will attack the secondary. Even last year's team often gave up large chunks of yardage through the air, and it's possible that this year will bring more of the same. What they lack in experience, though, they'll make up for in talent. Sophomore cornerback Wayne Lyons has the potential to one day be amongst the best in the nation, and fellow cornerbacks Barry Browning and Terrence Brown have definitely shown improvement. Also watch for true freshman Alex Carter in nickel situations. If the secondary comes together, this defense has a chance to be special.

BDN: Duke hung with Stanford briefly in Durham in 2011, before Andrew Luck got rolling and put the game quickly out of reach in the third quarter. What do you expect to see in this year's matchup?

I think the Cardinal will come out with a sense of urgency. Coaches always preach that every game is the biggest game on the schedule, but everything about last week's game -- the conservative play calling, the lack of intensity, the resting of players -- seemed to indicate that this maxim was thrown out the window. Stanford's overconfidence almost cost them a victory, but I don't think they'll make that same mistake this week. I expect that Shaw is letting Nunes grow slowly into the job, and that's probably not a bad idea. We should see him open things up a bit. Also, I'm betting the coaching staff will want to establish the run. Stepfan Taylor carried the ball seven times on the opening possession last week, and I bet we see something similar this week. When the dust clears, I think it will be a comfortable Stanford win, perhaps even enough to quell the rising tide of discontent spreading through the fan base. Stanford 34, Duke 13

Duke Prospects – Friday Night Lights

This week's Blue Devil Nation review of high school gridiron action starts with in-state verbal commit Quay Mann, who scored two touchdowns, on runs of 10 and 15 yards. Mann rushed nine times for 65 yards overall. Unfortunately, Tarboro defeated Mann's Northern Nash team 47-35. When asked for his thoughts on the game, Mann told Blue Devil Nation, "It was a good game. We kept trading leads until the very end."

Evrett Edwards' Woodbridge (Va.) Vikings defeated the Franklin County Eagles 27-7.  After the game, Edwards told Blue Devil Nation, "We played extremely well. I had a 46 yard kick return, four catches for 51 yards and three tackles."

Also in Virginia, Jake Kite caught two passes for 41 yards as Hidden Valley shut out William Byrd 10-0.

Moving on to action from Florida, quarterback T.J. Douglas of Ft. Myers High racked up some impressive statistics in a 29-12 victory over Lehigh. Douglas completed eight of 14 passes for 135 yards, while scoring twice on one-yard runs. Douglas's eight completions went to seven different receivers.

Also in the Ft. Myers area, Dunbar defeated East Lee County 45-0. Cornerback Johnell Barnes commented, "We started off a little slow, but in the second half we came out and dominated."

In Jacksonville, quarterback Parker Boehme and Sandalwood defeated Baldwin 48-20. Boehme is #12 in these video highlights. This season preview states there are great expectations for Sandalwood this season.